Russia Targets Estonia, One of the Leaders in Backing Ukraine
Estonia is one of the leaders in backing Ukraine, at least per capita. It became possible because of the consensus in the Estonian political community.
The parliamentary elections on March 5 could though change everything. The Russian Federation still hopes to change the political agenda in Estonia - if not in its favour, then at least in weakening aid to Kyiv.
Russian propaganda has already launched this campaign, promoting anti-European and anti-Ukrainian narratives. The Kremlin's arsenal of information warfare includes fakes, conspiracy theories, disinformation, and numerous manipulations.
As elsewhere, the Kremlin counts on pro-Kremlin-minded people, political activists, and politicians who still exist in Estonia even after the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
Kremlin's influencers could be both marginal radical politicians and representatives of respectable political forces.
In this case, we are talking about some politicians from the Center Party - currently the largest opposition force, but until recently - the ruling party.
The "centrists" had unequivocally condemned Russian aggression and tend to back Ukraine. However, the situation is not so simple.
This party would represent the Russian-speaking population of Estonia.
And accordingly, some of its members had extensively cooperated with the Russian Federation (it probably keeps doing it even now).
There are politicians among the "centrists" (although much fewer now than before) who directly or covertly promote propagandist narratives.
For example, the well-known MP Mihhail Stalnuhhin (former head of the Narva City Council) actively opposed removing the Narva tank. He reached the climax, calling Nazis those who demanded to remove Soviet memorials in Estonia. And he separately called the members of the Estonian government fascists.
The Center Party could not bear it any longer and had to kick out Stalnuhhin from its ranks.
However, he is still one of the most popular politicians in Narva. Perhaps the most pro-Russian city in Estonia. Therefore, he has every chance to keep his seat in the parliament - together with the centrists or separately.
Radicals, both left and right, remain the more outspoken lobbyists of the Kremlin's interests.
They can unite in a political alliance in Estonia.
For example, the United Left Party of Estonia, founded in 2008 by the merger of the Left Party and the Constitution Party of Estonia.
The United Left Party of Estonia has united with some Russian conservatives and nationalists before the 2023 election into the electoral movement Koos ("Together"). The latter was never able to obtain party status but found a way out in the alliance with the United Left Party of Estonia.
The political programme of the Koos movement is openly pro-Kremlin.
The leader of this movement, Aivo Peterson (nee Krylov), constantly points out on social media that friendship with Russia is simply necessary and that Estonia's assistance for Ukraine is unacceptable.
Such an alliance of leftists and conservatives may seem unnatural. However, for "Putin's friends" the main thing is still different.
A month ahead of the parliamentary elections, there are even more fakes in the Estonian media.
For example, sharp criticism of the expansion of the Nursipalu training area, attempts to sabotage and block the membership of Sweden and Finland in NATO, and the spread of fakes about Ukraine and Ukrainian refugees.