Russia does not plan to end military operations in Ukraine and considers the possibility of resuming the offensive on Kyiv.

"In our assessment, the hostilities will continue at least throughout 2023. Russia has been using the winter to recuperate, but it is almost certain that both Russia and Ukraine will use opportunities for an offensive if they arise. Russia's strategic objectives have not changed, so it likely plans to resume a new offensive after a period of rest during the winter. The Russian regime is still considering the possibility of renewing the attack on Kyiv," the annual report of the Constitution Protection Bureau (SAB), which performs intelligence and counterintelligence functions, states.

It is also noted that in order to win, Ukraine needs much greater military support from the West.

"Both Russia and Ukraine lack armament and munition so one of the most important factors affecting the further development of the war will be the ability of both sides to obtain or produce them as soon as possible," the report reads.

According to the assessment of the Latvian intelligence service, there is currently a low probability of Russia using nuclear weapons as it could lead to more direct Western involvement in the war and alienate Russia-friendly countries such as China and India.

"Nuclear weapons can be used if, in Putin’s view, the existence of the regime is threatened. At least for now, there is no indication of that," the document states.

Earlier, the Minister of Defence of Latvia stated that her country should be able to resist for at least 10 days in case of any aggression or threat (Ukr).