The United States currently is forced to send "smaller aid packages to Ukraine in order to stretch out support, given a stalemate in Congress over providing funding for Ukraine", according to a statement by White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre last week.

President Joe Biden has submitted to Congress a new package of nearly $105 billion for aid to Ukraine, Israel, and US border security.

Now, the question of further American assistance to Ukraine depends largely on the decision of the House of Representatives, which has just returned to work, after having elected Republican Trump supporter Mike Johnson as Speaker.

Read more about the prospects of Ukraine's support by the US in an article by Yale University student and the Yale Daily News reporter, Yurii Stasiuk - American Storm around Ukraine: Options for Future US Assistance.

Even though the majority in the House of Representatives is still willing to vote for military and financial aid to Ukraine, it is the Speaker who determines which bills will be brought up for consideration in the House, and when.

Therefore, the fate of aid to Ukraine will depend largely on Johnson. Shortly after taking office, Johnson somewhat softened his rhetoric. Despite his previous voting record, in discussions with Republican senators, he stated that he is willing to consider aid to Ukraine.

However, Johnson insisted on separating the aid packages for Ukraine and Israel, contrary to the plans of Biden and both Democratic and Republican senators. The House of Representatives has passed its own bill for aid to Israel without including aid to Ukraine and sent it to the Senate.

In private conversations, Johnson argues that aid for Ukraine needs to be separated from that for Israel because a combined package would not receive support from his fellow party members.

In its current form, the Senate will not pass the package, and Biden has threatened to veto it.

Johnson has said that aid to Ukraine would be tied to additional funding for security on the US-Mexico border, where thousands of migrants enter the country illegally.

Border security is one of the Republicans’ main electoral promises. By linking this issue to aid to Ukraine, Johnson hopes to find support, or at least avoid opposition, from the most radical members of Congress in his party.

While not all Democrats share the view that additional border security funding will solve the migration crisis, they are still willing to compromise on it. Biden's package ultimately includes enhancements to border security.

The question will be the size of such funding and other conditions attached to the package. The aid to Israel passed by the House shows that Johnson is willing (or perhaps required, in order to maintain control over his party) to push for significant demands.

Currently, Senate Republicans and Democrats are working on a new bipartisan aid package that will include assistance to Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan, as well as enhanced security on the southern US border—similar to what Biden proposed, but likely with more funding for border security.

Biden, Johnson, and Senate Republican leader McConnell will have to negotiate and find a compromise. Key indicators of their respective positions will be the aid package for Ukraine proposed in the House of Representatives and the comprehensive package in the Senate, where the parties will lay out their conditions and visions.

The situation is further complicated by the fact that in less than two weeks, the US government could run out of funding.

The good news for Ukraine is that it still has strong allies in both parties who are ready to support the country. The bad news is the continued influence of right-wing Trumpists, whom Johnson will need to keep in check to avoid losing his position.

Read more in an article by Yurii Stasiuk - American Storm around Ukraine: Options for Future US Assistance