There are many regions worldwide that have one or several never-ending conflicts.

Unfortunately, one of them is the South Caucasus – a region squeezed between two seas, as well as between Europe and Asia.

Resolving these conflicts is extremely difficult. And the current situation around Nagorno-Karabakh is a vivid example.

Many experts believed that the outcome of the recent war in Karabakh would at least put an end to the conflict that politically and psychologically suffocated the entire region for the past thirty years.

But the optimism doesn't look real. Read more in the column by Dr. Amiran Khevtsuriani, a professor at the Georgian Technical University – Caucasus awaiting new war: What prevents peace between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

One more detail has emerged in the context of the notorious "peace agreement," notes the author, which this time was voiced by Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev.

Judging by his statements from 1 February, "peace between Armenia and Azerbaijan will be possible only after amendments to the Constitution of Armenia."

According to Aliyev, the Declaration of Independence of Armenia "contains direct calls for the unification of the Karabakh region of Azerbaijan with Armenia and violates the territorial integrity of Azerbaijan, and references to this document are also reflected in the Constitution of Armenia."

It must be admitted, notes Amiran Khevtsuriani, that the current claim of President Aliyev to official Yerevan is much more logical, fairer than the previous ones, and most importantly, much easier to solve.

According to Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, "the Declaration of Independence, which forms the basis of the Armenian Constitution, carries fatal risks for the republic."

"Nikol Pashinyan is doing everything possible to prevent Azerbaijan from having a reason for a new war," believes the professor of the Georgian Technical University.

On the other hand, however, the matter is not so simple, as there is little belief in Yerevan that Aliyev actually needs this agreement at all. The anti-Armenian statements periodically made by the Azerbaijani leader only reinforce these doubts.

Khevtsuriani suggests that the idea of ​​annexing "Western Azerbaijan" after the "Karabakh triumph" could be considered as a way to annoy and blackmail Armenia. But the Azerbaijani army continues to control the part of the territory of sovereign Armenia, strategically important from a military point of view.

"Obviously, all this together pushes Armenia towards even greater militarisation. And it is doing that anyway. Perhaps in Yerevan, they have learned that you can only rely on yourself when it comes to physical survival," the author writes.

Ilham Aliyev, however, won another election in Azerbaijan, breaking his own record.

He clearly likes the title "Victorious," bestowed on him by the local media. Even though the war has been over for the fourth year, the president still cannot abandon the military uniform and often appears in it at various events.

Dr. Amiran Khevtsuriani believes that the process of reconciliation and the signing of a peace agreement between the countries will continue to be hampered by Azerbaijan. According to him, among a significant part of Azerbaijani society and its political establishment, there is still the opinion that Armenia has not fully "paid off" for the thirty-year occupation of Azerbaijani territories.

The expert believes though that a new war is unlikely, at least in the short term. Most likely, the parties will patiently wait for developments on the international stage, primarily on the Ukrainian front.